*********************************************************************** Product: Daily Forecast of Geomagnetic Activity Issued: 2018 October 06 05:38UTC Prepared by the Athens Space Weather Forecasting Center *********************************************************************** 1. Solar activity Solar activity was increasing during the past 24 hours. Solar Flux (10.7 cm) measured on 05.10.2018 at 20:00 UTC was 69 sfu. The background X-Ray flux is at the class A2 level. The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels on October 5. No obviously Earth directed CMEs were observed in available LASCO imagery. The Kp index now is at unsettled levels with Kp=3. 2. Solar Wind Geomagnetic Activity Solar Wind speed from ACE: 370 km/s. Solar Wind speed from STEREO A: --- km/s. Solar Wind speed from STEREO B: --- km/s. The southward component Bz is: 1 nT north. 3. Solar Energetic Particle Events Protons and electrons are quiet. 4. Coronal Holes A new coronal hole (CH888) will be in Earth facing position on October 4-6. A high speed stream of solar wind is expected to reach Earth on October 7. 5. Geophysical Activity Forecast The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on October 6, at quiet to moderate storm levels on October 7 and at unsettled to moderate storm levels on October 8 due to CH888 effects. Date Estimated Ap index Expected geom. storm 2018.10.06 05 - 2018.10.07 24 G1 - G2 2018.10.08 21 G1 - G2 *************************************************************************** Athens Space Weather Forecasting Center Physics Department, National & Kapodistrian University of Athens Athens Neutron Monitor Station A.NE.MO.S Tel.: +30 210 727 6901 email: spaceweather@phys.uoa.gr URL: http://spaceweather.phys.uoa.gr ***************************************************************************