***********************************************************************
Product: Daily Forecast of Geomagnetic Activity
Issued: 2020 November 30 06:26UTC
Prepared by the Athens Space Weather Forecasting Center
***********************************************************************

1. Solar activity
Solar activity was decreasing stable during the past 24 hours.
Solar Flux (10.7 cm) measured on 29.11.2020 at 20:00 UTC was 116 sfu.
The background X-Ray flux is at the class B3.8 level.
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels on November 29.
On Nov. 29 at 13:11 UT an active region just behind the south/east limb of the visible solar disk produced the biggest solar flare (M4.4) in more than 3 years. The associated CME is not Earth directed but in LASCO imagery there is a halo structure probably associated with the shock. If this shock will arrive at Earth is expected on Dec 1st, at 04:17UT according the EAM model. 
No obviously Earth directed CMEs were observed in available LASCO imagery.
The Kp index now is at unsettled levels with Kp=3.

2. Solar Wind Geomagnetic Activity
Solar Wind speed from ACE: 400 km/s.
Solar Wind speed from STEREO A: 380 km/s.
Solar Wind speed from STEREO B: --- km/s.
The southward component Bz is: 4 nT south.

3. Solar Energetic Particle Events
Protons and electrons are quiet.

4. Coronal Holes
No obvious coronal holes are currently in the visible solar disk.

5. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at almost quiet to unsettled levels on Nov. 30, at quiet levels on Dec. 1 and at quiet to unsettled levels on Dec. 2 with a chance for active intervals due to CME arrival.

   Date      Estimated Ap index      Expected geom. storm
2020.11.30           08                        -
2020.12.01           05                        -
2020.12.02           08                        -

***************************************************************************
Athens Space Weather Forecasting Center
Physics Department, National & Kapodistrian University of Athens
Athens Neutron Monitor Station A.NE.MO.S
Tel.: +30 210 727 6901
email: spaceweather@phys.uoa.gr
URL: http://spaceweather.phys.uoa.gr
***************************************************************************