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Product: Daily Forecast of Geomagnetic Activity
Issued: 2022 October 15 06:36UTC
Prepared by the Athens Space Weather Forecasting Center
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1. Solar activity
Solar activity was increasing during the past 24 hours.
Solar Flux (10.7 cm) measured on 14.10.2022 at 20:00 UTC was 121 sfu.
The background X-Ray flux is at the class B6.1 level.
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels on October 14.
AR3112 erupted on October 14 producing a M1.3 class solar flare at 09:44 UT peak time and radiblackout of category R1.
No obviously Earth directed CMEs were observed in available LASCO imagery.
The Kp index now is at unsetled levels with Kp=3.

2. Solar Wind Geomagnetic Activity
Solar Wind speed from ACE: 424 km/s.
Solar Wind speed from STEREO A: 450 km/s.
Solar Wind speed from STEREO B: - km/s.
The southward component Bz is: 9 nT north.

3. Solar Energetic Particle Events
Protons and electrons are quiet.

4. Coronal Holes
No obvious coronal holes are currently in the visible solar disk.

5. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to minor storm (G1) levels on October 14, at quiet to unsettled levels on October 16 and at quiet levels on Octomber 17.

   Date      Estimated Ap index      Expected geom. storm
2022.10.15           18                        G1
2022.10.16           08                        -
2022.10.17           05                        -

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Athens Space Weather Forecasting Center
Physics Department, National & Kapodistrian University of Athens
Athens Neutron Monitor Station A.NE.MO.S
Tel.: +30 210 727 6901
email: spaceweather@phys.uoa.gr
URL: http://spaceweather.phys.uoa.gr
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